Tag: Giro d’Italia

  • Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 5 Preview

    Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 5 Preview

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    Stage 5: Praia a Mare › Benevento – 233km

    The Giro’s fifth stage, much like Stage 4, won’t be easy to predict. There is only one small categorized climb on the day and it comes very early in the stage, but the road to Benevento does have some hills along the way, and this is a very long stage at 233 kilometers. More importantly, the finish is tricky: the final kilometer is a cobbled ascent at around 3.4%.

    All those features will make Stage 5 a tough one to control, and even if things come down to a bunch gallop in the peloton, it’s no guarantee that the marquee sprinters will be at their best on a finishing climb like this.

    Should the peloton reel in any long-range attackers before the line, Marcel Kittel would probably be the obvious pick for a sprint, but he might not be my first choice. He is looking more versatile these days than he used to, but I still think this finish might be a bit tough for the Etixx rider.

    Arnaud Démare, on the other hand, should like his chances. He’s done well on slightly uphill finishes in the past, he can handle cobblestones, and he doesn’t mind a long day in the saddle (as evidenced by his Milano-Sanremo victory). He also looks very good right now.

    André Greipel, who has recently shown some ability in the Spring Classics, is another rider who might be able to use the tricky finish to his advantage. The same could be said for Giacomo Nizzolo, who loves the longer days.

    Sacha Modolo is another sprinter who may fare well at the finish, while Caleb Ewan and Elia Viviani are both quick enough that maybe the small cobbled climb won’t matter.

    Diego Ulissi, Matteo Trentin, and Sonny Colbrelli could be in the mix if the purer sprinters are dropped from bunch. So could Ramunas Navardauskas.

    And if the stage goes to a breakaway, don’t be surprised if Lotto-Soudal takes the victory: Tim Wellens and Adam Hansen should both like the look of Stage 5.

    VeloHuman Stage 5 Favorites

    1. Arnaud Démare | 2. André Greipel | 3. Marcel Kittel

  • Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 4 Preview

    Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 4 Preview

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    Stage 4: Catanzaro › Praia a Mare – 200km

    The first Italian stage of the Giro d’Italia gets underway Tuesday. It’s a lumpy affair of around 200 kilometers, with a pair of Cat. 3 climbs and an up-and-down (though uncategorized) finale. The parcours makes this stage a tough one to predict—it might be too difficult for the pure sprinters, but it’s not so challenging as to completely rule them out. The early breakaway will have a shot at staying clear here as well.

    I see a reduced sprint as the most probable outcome, making the punchy types prime candidates for success. Diego Ulissi looked strong in the Ardennes this year and almost always performs well in his home Grand Tour. He has a very fast finish and won’t be troubled by the climbs.

    Alejandro Valverde may find this stage to his liking as well, for the same reasons.

    Sonny Colbrelli, a surprise 3rd in the Amstel Gold Race, should be in top shape for the Giro and is well-suited to the finale. The same could be said for Matteo Trentin, who doesn’t have that many opportunities to ride for his own results, but very often delivers when he does get the chance.

    Of course, Trentin’s teammate Marcel Kittel might make it to the finish, in which case he’d be a heavy favorite for the sprint. The slightly more versatile Arnaud Démare might be a better bet. He can handle a few climbs. So can Giacomo Nizzolo—this could be his big chance to finale nab a Giro stage win.

    Tim Wellens is another name to keep an eye on here. He could find the profile perfect for one of his characteristic long-range attacks.

    VeloHuman Stage 4 Favorites

    1. Diego Ulissi | 2. Marcel Kittel | 3. Sonny Colbrelli

  • Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 3 Preview

    Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 3 Preview

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    Stage 3: Nijmegen › Arnhem – 190km

    After Marcel Kittel’s Stage 2 victory, Giro fans may be in for a bit of déjà vu on Stage 3. The 190km stage starts in Nijmegen and finishes in Arnhem (the reverse of Saturday’s start/finish location) and only real climb on profile is a single Cat. 4 ,, into likely to have much of an attempt.

    With all that said it’s hard not to pick against the rider who won Stage 2, Marcel Kittel.

    The German rider should be able to take advantage of the flat parcours and put his impressive kick to the the test. At his best, Kittel is the best sprinter in the world, and at least recently, Kittel has looked very much like the rider who has eight Tour de France stage wins to his name.

    André Greipel was not much of a factor on Stage 2, but he’s capable of having a big impact even in this strong field, if he can position himself well for the finale.

    Caleb Ewan was also a bit of a disappointment, but it wouldn’t be wise to count the Aussie out on Stage 3.

    Sacha Modolo, Arndaud Démare, Giacomo Nizzolo, and Elia Viviani are others with a shot.

    VeloHuman Stage 3 Favorites

    1. Marcel Kittel | 2 . André Greipel | 3. Caleb Ewan

  • Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 2 Preview

    Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 2 Preview

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    Stage 2: Arnhem › Nijmegen – 190km

    After Tom Dumoulin’s home victory in Stage 1, the Giro continues with a sprinter-friendly Stage 2 in the Netherlands. There isn’t a whole lot to say about the route, as the only climb of the day, a Cat. 4, shouldn’t present much of a challenge for anyone. There are a few corners in the finale, including a left hook inside the final kilometer, but this should be a day for the fast finishers.

    At his best, Marcel Kittel is the fastest rider in this field, and his 5th place finish in the TT would suggest that he’s feeling very strong right now. The Etixx rider is the man to beat in Stage 2. André Greipel looks to be his likeliest challenger, though don’t count out Caleb Ewan. He hasn’t had too much opportunities to face off against competition like this in a race this big, but that doesn’t mean he won’t factor.

    Sacha Modolo and an always-effective Lampre Giro leadout could be in the mix as well, along with the speedy Elia Viviani and the ever-present Giacomo Nizzolo. Jakub Mareczko, Arnaud Démare, and Matteo Pelucchi are others to keep an eye on out of a very impressive list of sprinters at this Giro.

    VeloHuman Stage 2 Favorites

    1. Marcel Kittel | 2. Andre Greipel | 3. Caleb Ewan

    Be sure to check out my overall race preview over at VeloNews, and don’t miss the Recon Ride’s pre-race show! Giacomo Nizzolo and Jakob Fuglsang both make an appearance in the podcast.

  • Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 1 Preview

    Giro d’Italia 2016: Stage 1 Preview

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    Stage 1: Apeldoorn › Apeldoorn – 9.8km (ITT)

    The 2016 Giro d’Italia opens in the Netherlands with a short, flat time trial. Without any climbs to speak of and good weather in the forecast, the corners will be the only real challenge on the day. Expect the specialists to shine here in the first battle for the pink jersey. In particular, those with top-end speed will like their chances.

    Fabian Cancellara and Tom Dumoulin are the two big favorites here, though Cancellara apparently has the flu, which could make this Dumoulin’s to lose. He won’t have many opportunities like this to take a Giro stage win in his home country, and this TT suits him well.

    Jos Van Emden is another home rider with a chance. He’s been a bit quiet since his second-place ride in the Tour of Qatar’s stage 2 TT, but he showed at last year’s Eneco Tour TT just how good he can be when things go his way. Bob Jungels, Anton Vorobyev, Mathias Brandle, Jack Bobridge, and Ramunas Narvadauskas are others who could be in the mix.

    Keep an eye on Mikel Landa and Esteban Chaves on the day. The time trial mileage in this Giro could be the biggest challenge for both riders, and Stage 1 will be a good opportunity to get an idea of where they are in terms of form against the clock right now before the more critical Stage 9 ITT.

    VeloHuman Stage Favorites

    1. Tom Dumoulin | 2. Fabian Cancellara | 3. Jos Van Emden.

    Be sure to check out my overall race preview over at VeloNews, and don’t miss the Recon Ride’s pre-race show! Giacomo Nizzolo and Jakob Fuglsang both make an appearance in the podcast.

  • Giro d’Italia 2016 Preview

    Giro d’Italia 2016 Preview

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    I had the privilege of previewing this year’s Giro d’Italia for VeloNews. Route, contenders, outsiders, it’s all there…

    Check it out here.

    And just in case you’re the type who only reads these previews for the Top 10 GC faves, here’s how I see it playing out:

    VeloHuman Top 10 Overall Favorites

    Winner: Vincenzo Nibali
    Podium: Mikel Landa, Alejandro Valverde
    Other Top Contenders: Rafal Majka, Rigoberto Urán, Esteban Chaves, Domenico Pozzovivo, Jakob Fuglsang, Ilnur Zakarin, Tom Dumoulin

    Of course, don’t miss the Recon Ride podcast, chock full of analysis and interviews to boot!

    Photo by ENGIE Italia (CC).