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Tag: Tom Boonen

  • E3 Harelbeke 2014 Preview

    E3 Harelbeke 2014 Preview

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    WorldTouring on The Cobbles

    On Friday, the WorldTour finally arrives on the cobbles. Omloop Het Nieuewblad and Dwars door Vlanderen paved the way for the top level contests, which start this weekend with E3 Harelbeke and continue through Sunday with Gent-Wevelgem (which will, of course, be previewed here as well!). Friday’s E3 is a 211 kilometer race through West Flanders offers a classic Flemish profile of ups and downs and cobbled stretches guaranteed to host constant attacks and counter-attacks. The parcours is very well-balanced — with fifeen or so sharp inclines rising to meet the peloton and cobbles and crosswinds to boot, E3 wears down pretenders and provides several potential launching pads for solo moves, but ultimately, the road from start to finish is not so difficult as to guarantee victory for a small group or single rider. Sprint finishes are more than possible here. In 2012, Tom Boonen launched a series of late attacks, none of which stuck, only take victory at the head of a bunch sprint anyway. On the other hand, in 2013, Fabian Cancellara attacked a full 35 kilometers away from the finish on the Oude Kwaremont climb, zooming up the cobbles and staying away from the chasers the whole way home. The multitude of potential scenarios makes E3 a tough race to call, but there are a number of riders with the potential to win this race a few different ways.

    Before I get to the predictions: don’t forget to follow the new @VeloHuman on Twitter for more live analysis of the biggest races on the calendar!

    The Riders to Watch

    First on the list of favorites is the aforementioned Fabian Cancellara. Trek’s star has won this race three times, each due to his superior ability to attack from the peloton. He does not seem to have lost any of his trademark power in 2014, proving his form with a 2nd place in the brutal Milano-Sanremo (as well as a short ITT also good for 2nd place at Tirreno-Adriatico). His sprint also looks sharp as ever, as he managed those runner-up honors in Sanremo by outgunning some of the fastest men in the sport to the finish line in a hectic bunch gallop. If he can whittle down the lead group, he’ll be able to hold his own in a group finish. Cancellara is a veteran and a masterful racer with a killer instinct, and he has proven his high level form leading into a race he knows how to win, making him the favorite among favorites. Having Stijn Devolder along for company will help as well—the two-time Monument winner is an able lieutenant and a legitimate second.

    2nd in last year’s running was Cannondale’s Peter Sagan, who beat out Daniel Oss and Geraint Thomas that year in a sprint for 2nd among the attackers who couldn’t hang with Spartacus. Though probably faster in a sprint than Cancellara and more able to handle serious climbs, Sagan has not shown the same level of solo power output that Cancellara can muster. Still, he gets better every year, not just physically but also as a race tactician. Milano-Sanremo wore him down to the point of being unable to contest in the final sprint but E3 is more than 80 kilometers shorter, and it’s unlikely that the weather conditions will come close to being as miserable as they were in Italy. Should Sagan manage to hang with Cancellara or whoever is the last man up the road (he’ll have the talented Oscar Gatto to help with that), he’ll have more left in the tank when it comes to the final race to the line than he did in MSR. He has not blown the doors off of any races this year, but his form has looked good, and I think he’s going to be reaching his peak soon. What’s more, he’s likely to get help tracking Cancellara from a few other riders.

    Chief among them is the third of the big three favorites to contend in this race, Tom Boonen. The OPQS rider has won E3 a record four times, and he’s done it both in solo moves and as the first among a group of sprinters to make the finish line. However, though Boonen and Cancellara have dominated the spring classics for the better part of a decade, it has been some time since the Belgian was at his best and able to contend with his Swiss rival. Strong performances early this season have shown that he is back on track after injury derailed his 2013. At Kuurne-Bruxelles-Kuurne, Boonen beat the strong Belkin duo of Sep Vanmarcke and Moreno Hofland to the line. He was very active in this week’s Dwars Ddoor Vlaanderen as well. To win here, he knows he’ll have to play a delicate game, working with potentially faster sprinters like Sagan to keep Cancellara in check only to try to drop them as the finish nears. Fortunately for him, Niki Terpstra (winner of DDV) and Zdenek Stybar don the same uniform. Stybar makes for a fine wild card in this race, showing a great sprint right now and a surprising knack for getting over steep climbs. His ability to solo away on the tough ascents will put pressure on Boonen’s opponents, but don’t count out Stybar going for it all himself; OPQS really believes that the future is now for the cyclocross star, and won’t hesitate to let him take chances if he feels good.

    Challenging these top favorites and their teammates are a number of brave sprinters and more traditional aggressive classics-style riders alike. John Degenkolb, who hit some serious bad luck with a puncture in the final kilometers of Milano-Sanremo after being tipped as a hot favorite in that race, will be out for revenge via a sprint finish. He was 6th in E3 in 2012, and while he may not be known as a cobbled classics specialist, he has the experience and the endurance for success here. Lampre’s Sacha Modolo (not much of a record on cobbles but obviously very fast and tough as well), Tinkoff-Saxo’s Daniele Bennati and Michael Morkov, BMC’s Thor Hushovd, Movistar’s Juan Jose Lobato, Sky’s Edvald Boasson Hagen and Bernie Eisel, MTN’s Gerald Ciolek, IAM’s Heinrich Haussler, and perhaps surprisingly, Garmin’s Tyler Farrar (winner of the DDV bunch sprint for 2nd place) could all contend in a sprint finish.

    Several other riders will hope they can force selection to drop the faster finishers. Sep Vanmarcke looked very strong in Omloop Het Nieuwsblad and Kuurne-Bruxelles-Kuurne, and he’ll hope to turn high placings in those races into a bona fide win here. He was 5th in the 2012 bunch sprint E3 that Boonen won, and in last year’s Paris-Roubaix, he showed the remarkable ability to stay with Fabian Cancellara on the big stage. The 25-year-old Belgian will look for opportunities to strike at this year’s E3. Lampre’s Filippo Pozzato won this race back in 2009, kicking past Tom Boonen in the small lead group for the victory. He showed resurgent form late last year, and he will be a danger man when small groups start to form late in the game. Ian Stannard‘s Omloop Het Nieuwsblad victory shows that he is in top shape right now, and his endurance will suit him well in a race likely to feature countless attacks to blow things up at the front. Teammate Geraint Thomas looked great prior to a crash in Paris-Nice, and if he has recovered, he is another strong option to survive the road, the conditions, and the attacks. BMC’s Taylor Phinney, Daniel Oss, and Greg van Avermaet, Astana’s Borut Bozic (3rd in Dwars door Vlaanderen) and Francesco Gavazzi, Garmin’s Sebastian Langeveld, Nick Nuyens and Johan Vansummeren, Lotto’s Jurgen Roelandts (2nd here in 2011) and Tony Gallopin, IAM’s Sylvain Chavanel (6th last year, and improving on his early season form recently), Orica’s typically versatile cast of Daryl Impey, Luke Durbridge and Jens Keukeleire, and Katusha’s Luca Paolini (8th last year and still going strong at 37). Watch out on the Kapelberg, Paterberg, Oude Kwaremont, Kanemelkbeekstrat (aren’t these names fun?), and Tiegemberg.
    Update: Alejandro Valverde is now confirmed as starting. Hard to see him outclassing the cobbled experts, but you never know!

    The winner of this race not only nabs the day’s glory, the race’s prize money and WorldTour points, and a place in the cycling history books, but also a likely nomination as a favorite heading into the cobbled races to follow. Much is at stake in this Friday’s E3 Harelbeke. Couple the stakes with an always interesting profile and some top classics riders in top form, and I think we’re in for a show.

    VeloHuman Top 10 Favorites

    Winner: Fabian Cancellara
    Podium: Peter Sagan, Tom Boonen
    Other Top Contenders: Sep Vanmarcke, Zdenek Stybar, Greg Van Avermaet, Ian Stannard, Filippo Pozzato, Edvald Boasson Hagen, John Degenkolb

    Follow the new @VeloHuman on Twitter for plenty of live analysis during this weekend’s classic duo, and check back soon for the preview of the second half of said duo, Gent-Wevelgem!

    -Dane Cash

    Photo by Vincent Oord.

  • Coasting Through February

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    Takeaways from the Early-year Interlude 

    We are two weeks into February and still, two long weeks remain until March, the month of Paris-Nice and Tirreno-Adriatico, Milano-San Remo and Gent Wevelgem. Until then, a few notes about the past several weeks in the peloton. We may not have had any WorldTour contests to follow, but the gap between the Tour Down Under and the spring classics is not entirely without action, much of it offering a fine glimpse into early season form for some big names.

    Orica-GreenEdge followed up their Tour Down Under victory with an overall win at the Jayco Herald Sun Tour, with Simon Clarke nabbing GC honors. Teammate Simon Gerrans also found himself in the top 10; if he can maintain this sort of form into next month, he’ll be a strong contender to nab Monument number 2 in San Remo. Meanwhile, Avanti’s Jack Haig, winner of the young rider’s jersey at the Tour Down Under, nabbed the final spot on the Herald Sun Tour podium; the 20 year old is making a name for himself, taking his opportunities when they’ve come. Garmin-Sharp’s Nathan Haas (5th in the Tour Down Under) continued to show off his talent with another top 5 performance. He’s a pleasant surprise for Garmin early in 2014, and it’s likely we’ll see the squad continue to give him chances as the year goes on.

    The Asia Tour offered back to back races in the Arabian peninsula to start the month, both of them mostly flat affairs essentially decided in a single stage. Taylor Phinney’s time trial victory in the opening day of the Dubai Tour (an impressive win over Tony Martin, though perhaps less indicative of form than of changing windspeeds between their start times that day) gave him enough of a time gap to hold on for the overall through the end of the race; Marcel Kittel nabbed all three other stage victories with dominant sprints. It’s a good sign for the young German, who had a disappointing trip to Australia last month. In the subsequent Tour of Qatar, Niki Terpstra jumped ahead of the peloton on a crosswind-heavy first stage and hung on at the top for the rest of the week. His team dominated the Tour, with FIVE of their riders finishing in the top 10. The performance of one of those riders made a strong statement, especially after his frustrating, injury-riddled 2013: Tom Boonen nabbed two stage wins, 3rd overall, and the points classification in Qatar. It’s a good sign he’s back on track, though the Pro Continental level Tour of Qatar, in which main rival Fabian Cancellara was mostly just picking up some training miles, is not Paris-Roubaix. We’ll see if this form holds. Lotto-Belisol also had a fine Tour, with Andre Greipel nabbing a stage win and Jurgen Roelandts picking up 3rd overall. Arnaud Demare, looking to make a name for himself in the classics this year, took a fine stage victory on the final day. Perhaps a little more under-the-radar, Aidis Kruopis of Orica-GreenEdge and Sam Bennett of NetApp-Endura both had strong performances with a number of high placings at stage finishes.

    On the Europe Tour, the four races of Vuelta a Mallorca went to Sacha Modolo, Sacha Modolo again, Michal Kwiatkowski, and Gianni Meersman. Francisco Ventoso and Francesco Gavazzi also had nice visits to the Spanish island, which is always a good place for all-rounders with fast finishes to show their stuff.

    On a less positive note, Giacomo Nizzolo suffered a broken collarbone in a training crash this week and will likely be out for several weeks. Here’s hoping he makes a full recovery in time for some of the later classics of the year.

    In other news, it’s been ten years since the death of Il Pirata, Tour de France and Giro d’Italia winner Marco Pantani, who stood on multiple Grand Tour podiums and won over a dozen Grand Tour stages in his colorful career before his untimely death. So many riders at the top of today’s peloton were teenagers when Pantani won his yellow jersey, and his famously aggressive style made a big impact on many of them. His well-documented usage of various substances is a reminder of a low point for the sport, but while time can only tell whether those same problems still live on, watch many of today’s elite climbers vaunt out of the saddle on an all-out attack up an Alpine slope and you’ll see Pantani’s athletic influence alive and well.

    The Tour Mediterranean heads into the mountains this weekend. Not long after, the Tour of Oman kicks off in Suwayq and the Volta ao Algarve begins in Faro, Portugal. Only a few more weeks of Continental level racing remain before the spring’s biggest races. Keep an eye out for more at VeloHuman, and be ready for a March (and beyond) full of previews.

    -Dane Cash

    Photo by Mark Swallow.